
Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Joe Vaclavik and Mackenzie Johnston discuss the grain markets, the business of farming, news related to agriculture, and a variety of other topics.
Grain Markets and Other Stuff
This is Not a Bullish Weather Forecast
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0:00 Weather
3:39 "Mr. NICE GUY"
8:11 Export Sales
9:24 Brazil Corn Harvest
10:26 The Funds
11:27 Flash Sales
π Rain Returns, Trade Tensions Rise & Export Sales Slide π½π§οΈπ
π Here's what you need to know this week in the grain markets:
π¦οΈ Weekend Rain Recap & Forecast Outlook
Rainfall was limited to the southeastern Corn Belt with up to 1.5" in parts of IL, IN, OH, and KY. The rest of the region stayed dry, but buckle up β forecasts show widespread rain this week! CropProphet expects 1.8" average rain across US corn areas. π§οΈ
π¨π³ Trump vs. China: Trade Tensions Back On
Trump accused China of violating a trade deal and vowed not to be βMr. NICE GUYβ anymore. Visa revocations, chip export controls, and stalled talks sent a chill through markets. π€π
π US Export Sales Fall
Corn: Down 23% W/W β π―π΅ Japan tops the list
Soybeans: Missed expectations β π²π½ Mexico leads
Wheat: Weak but improved β π»πͺ Venezuela steps in
π§π· Brazil Corn Harvest Lagging
Only 1.05% harvested vs. 2.7% LY. But crop size is up sharply:
Safrinha corn: 99.8 MMT (+11%)
Total corn: 126.9 MMT (+10%)
π° Funds Shift Positions
The Funds trimmed corn shorts and went long in soybeans:
+5K corn π’
+30K soybeans (largest net long since Feb!) π«
+7K SRW wheat πΎ
π’ Flash Corn Sale!
US exporters sold 210K mt to unknown destinations.
145K for '24/25 π
65K for '25/26 π’
π Stay informed, subscribe for updates, and drop your thoughts in the comments! π¬π