Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Corn and Soybeans GAP Lower on Trump Tariff Announcement

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0:00 Tariffs and Lower Markets
5:10 Historic Corn Belt Flooding
8:07 Ethanol Production
9:00 China Ship Sales Decline
10:43 Flash Sale

Trump's Trade War Escalates: New Tariffs Imposed ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’ฅ
President Trump escalated the trade war on Wednesday, announcing a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on Saturday. Additionally, he introduced a reciprocal tariff policy targeting 180 nations, including the EU (20%), Vietnam (46%), Taiwan (32%), and a 34% tariff on China, bringing the total tariff rate on Chinese goods to 54%. These reciprocal tariffs will begin on April 9, with Canada and Mexico exempt, though imports not covered by the USMCA agreement will face a 25% tariff. Corn and soybean futures dropped sharply in response, while the US stock market fell to fresh lows overnight. ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ’ฐ

Historic Flooding Forecast for the Corn Belt ๐ŸŒง๏ธ๐ŸŒŠ
Severe flooding is expected in the Corn Belt, with a storm system that started on Wednesday causing significant rainfall. Areas in Southeast Missouri, Southern Indiana, Southern Illinois, Kentucky, and Southern Ohio are at risk of receiving between 10 to 15 inches of rain, with more moderate amounts expected in other regions. Over 32 million people are under a flood watch, and the flooding is expected to impact agricultural production in these regions. ๐ŸŒฝ๐ŸŒพ

US Ethanol Production Increases ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŒฑ
US ethanol production increased by 1% last week, totaling 1.06 million barrels per day. Ethanol stocks decreased by 2.7% but are still 1% higher compared to the same time last year. Despite the recent dip, stock levels remain historically high. Ethanol production margins are currently near breakeven levels, according to Reuters data. ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ’ก

Chinese Ship Sales Decline Amid Port Fee Threat ๐ŸšขโŒ
Chinese ship sales dropped sharply in March due to President Trump's threat to impose a $1 million port fee on Chinese vessels. This has raised concerns in the global shipping industry, particularly regarding the impact on US grain exports. The American Farm Bureau Federation estimates that the proposed shipping fees could increase soybean export costs by 9.5 to 27.5 cents per bushel. ๐Ÿšข๐Ÿ“‰

Flash Sale of Soybean Cake and Meal ๐Ÿ›๏ธ๐ŸŒพ
US exporters sold 135,000mt of soybean cake and meal to the Philippines for the 2024/2025 marketing year. This marks the first flash sale of soybean cake and meal for the year. ๐ŸŒฑ